Social relationships, amyloid burden, and dementia: The ARIC-PET study.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess whether social relationships in mid-life reduce the risk of dementia related to amyloid burden. METHODS: Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were assessed for social support and isolation (visit 2; 1990-1992). A composite measure, "social relationships," was generated. Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET); (visit 5; 2012-2014). Incident dementia cases were identified following visit 5 through 2019 using ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of mid-life social relationships and elevated brain amyloid to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among 310 participants without dementia, strong mid-life social relationships were associated independently with lower dementia risk. Elevated late-life brain amyloid was associated with greater dementia risk. DISCUSSION: Although mid-life social relationships did not moderate the relationship between amyloid burden and dementia, these findings affirm the importance of strong social relationships as a potentially protective factor against dementia.

Abundant transcriptomic alterations in the human cerebellum of patients with a C9orf72 repeat expansion.

The most prominent genetic cause of both amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) is a repeat expansion in the gene C9orf72. Importantly, the transcriptomic consequences of the C9orf72 repeat expansion remain largely unclear. Here, we used short-read RNA sequencing (RNAseq) to profile the cerebellar transcriptome, detecting alterations in patients with a C9orf72 repeat expansion. We focused on the cerebellum, since key C9orf72-related pathologies are abundant in this neuroanatomical region, yet TDP-43 pathology and neuronal loss are minimal. Consistent with previous work, we showed a reduction in the expression of the C9orf72 gene and an elevation in homeobox genes, when comparing patients with the expansion to both patients without the C9orf72 repeat expansion and control subjects. Interestingly, we identified more than 1000 alternative splicing events, including 4 in genes previously associated with ALS and/or FTLD. We also found an increase of cryptic splicing in C9orf72 patients compared to patients without the expansion and controls. Furthermore, we demonstrated that the expression level of select RNA-binding proteins is associated with cryptic splice junction inclusion. Overall, this study explores the presence of widespread transcriptomic changes in the cerebellum, a region not confounded by severe neurodegeneration, in post-mortem tissue from C9orf72 patients.

Can white matter hyperintensities based Fazekas visual assessment scales inform about Alzheimer's disease pathology in the population?

Background: White matter hyperintensities (WMH) are considered hallmark features of cerebral small vessel disease and have recently been linked to Alzheimer's disease pathology. Their distinct spatial distributions, namely periventricular versus deep WMH, may differ by underlying age-related and pathobiological processes contributing to cognitive decline. We aimed to identify the spatial patterns of WMH using the 4-scale Fazekas visual assessment and explore their differential association with age, vascular health, Alzheimer's imaging markers, namely amyloid and tau burden, and cognition. Because our study consisted of scans from GE and Siemens scanners with different resolutions, we also investigated inter-scanner reproducibility and combinability of WMH measurements on imaging. Methods: We identified 1144 participants from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging consisting of older adults from Olmsted County, Minnesota with available structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), amyloid, and tau positron emission tomography (PET). WMH distribution patterns were assessed on FLAIR-MRI, both 2D axial and 3D, using Fazekas ratings of periventricular and deep WMH severity. We compared the association of periventricular and deep WMH scales with vascular risk factors, amyloid-PET and tau-PET standardized uptake value ratio, WMH volume, and cognition using Pearson partial correlation after adjusting for age. We also evaluated vendor compatibility and reproducibility of the Fazekas scales using intraclass correlations (ICC). Results: Periventricular and deep WMH measurements showed similar correlations with age, cardiometabolic conditions score (vascular risk), and cognition, (p < 0.001). Both periventricular WMH and deep WMH showed weak associations with amyloidosis (R = 0.07, p = < 0.001), and none with tau burden. We found substantial agreement between data from the two scanners for Fazekas measurements (ICC = 0.78). The automated WMH volume had high discriminating power for identifying participants with Fazekas ≥ 2 (area under curve = 0.97). Conclusion: Our study investigates risk factors underlying WMH spatial patterns and their impact on global cognition, with no discernible differences between periventricular and deep WMH. We observed minimal impact of amyloidosis on WMH severity. These findings, coupled with enhanced inter-scanner reproducibility of WMH data, suggest the combinability of inter-scanner data assessed by harmonized protocols in the context of vascular contributions to cognitive impairment and dementia biomarker research.

Clinicopathologic Heterogeneity and Glial Activation Patterns in Alzheimer Disease.

Importance: Factors associated with clinical heterogeneity in Alzheimer disease (AD) lay along a continuum hypothesized to associate with tangle distribution and are relevant for understanding glial activation considerations in therapeutic advancement. Objectives: To examine clinicopathologic and neuroimaging characteristics of disease heterogeneity in AD along a quantitative continuum using the corticolimbic index (CLix) to account for individuality of spatially distributed tangles found at autopsy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study was a retrospective medical record review performed on the Florida Autopsied Multiethnic (FLAME) cohort accessioned from 1991 to 2020. Data were analyzed from December 2022 to December 2023. Structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and tau positron emission tomography (PET) were evaluated in an independent neuroimaging group. The FLAME cohort includes 2809 autopsied individuals; included in this study were neuropathologically diagnosed AD cases (FLAME-AD). A digital pathology subgroup of FLAME-AD cases was derived for glial activation analyses. Main Outcomes and Measures: Clinicopathologic factors of heterogeneity that inform patient history and neuropathologic evaluation of AD; CLix score (lower, relative cortical predominance/hippocampal sparing vs higher, relative cortical sparing/limbic predominant cases); neuroimaging measures (ie, structural MRI and tau-PET). Results: Of the 2809 autopsied individuals in the FLAME cohort, 1361 neuropathologically diagnosed AD cases were evaluated. A digital pathology subgroup included 60 FLAME-AD cases. The independent neuroimaging group included 93 cases. Among the 1361 FLAME-AD cases, 633 were male (47%; median [range] age at death, 81 [54-96] years) and 728 were female (53%; median [range] age at death, 81 [53-102] years). A younger symptomatic onset (Spearman ρ = 0.39, P < .001) and faster decline on the Mini-Mental State Examination (Spearman ρ = 0.27; P < .001) correlated with a lower CLix score in FLAME-AD series. Cases with a nonamnestic syndrome had lower CLix scores (median [IQR], 13 [9-18]) vs not (median [IQR], 21 [15-27]; P < .001). Hippocampal MRI volume (Spearman ρ = -0.45; P < .001) and flortaucipir tau-PET uptake in posterior cingulate and precuneus cortex (Spearman ρ = -0.74; P < .001) inversely correlated with CLix score. Although AD cases with a CLix score less than 10 had higher cortical tangle count, we found lower percentage of CD68-activated microglia/macrophage burden (median [IQR], 0.46% [0.32%-0.75%]) compared with cases with a CLix score of 10 to 30 (median [IQR], 0.75% [0.51%-0.98%]) and on par with a CLix score of 30 or greater (median [IQR], 0.40% [0.32%-0.57%]; P = .02). Conclusions and Relevance: Findings show that AD heterogeneity exists along a continuum of corticolimbic tangle distribution. Reduced CD68 burden may signify an underappreciated association between tau accumulation and microglia/macrophages activation that should be considered in personalized therapy for immune dysregulation.

Influences of amyloid-ß and tau on white matter neurite alterations in dementia with Lewy bodies.

Dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) is a neurodegenerative condition often co-occurring with Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology. Characterizing white matter tissue microstructure using Neurite Orientation Dispersion and Density Imaging (NODDI) may help elucidate the biological underpinnings of white matter injury in individuals with DLB. In this study, diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) and NODDI metrics were compared in 45 patients within the dementia with Lewy bodies spectrum (mild cognitive impairment with Lewy bodies (n = 13) and probable dementia with Lewy bodies (n = 32)) against 45 matched controls using conditional logistic models. We evaluated the associations of tau and amyloid-ß with DTI and NODDI parameters and examined the correlations of AD-related white matter injury with Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR). Structural equation models (SEM) explored relationships among age, APOE ε4, amyloid-ß, tau, and white matter injury. The DLB spectrum group exhibited widespread white matter abnormalities, including reduced fractional anisotropy, increased mean diffusivity, and decreased neurite density index. Tau was significantly associated with limbic and temporal white matter injury, which was, in turn, associated with worse CDR. SEM revealed that amyloid-ß exerted indirect effects on white matter injury through tau. We observed widespread disruptions in white matter tracts in DLB that were not attributed to AD pathologies, likely due to α-synuclein-related injury. However, a fraction of the white matter injury could be attributed to AD pathology. Our findings underscore the impact of AD pathology on white matter integrity in DLB and highlight the utility of NODDI in elucidating the biological basis of white matter injury in DLB.

Gene specific effects on brain volume and cognition of TMEM106B in frontotemporal lobar degeneration.

Background and Objectives: TMEM106B has been proposed as a modifier of disease risk in FTLD-TDP, particularly in GRN mutation carriers. Furthermore, TMEM106B has been investigated as a disease modifier in the context of healthy aging and across multiple neurodegenerative diseases. The objective of this study is to evaluate and compare the effect of TMEM106B on gray matter volume and cognition in each of the common genetic FTD groups and in sporadic FTD patients. Methods: Participants were enrolled through the ARTFL/LEFFTDS Longitudinal Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration (ALLFTD) study, which includes symptomatic and presymptomatic individuals with a pathogenic mutation in C9orf72, GRN, MAPT, VCP, TBK1, TARDBP, symptomatic non-mutation carriers, and non-carrier family controls. All participants were genotyped for the TMEM106B rs1990622 SNP. Cross-sectionally, linear mixed-effects models were fitted to assess an association between TMEM106B and genetic group interaction with each outcome measure (gray matter volume and UDS3-EF for cognition), adjusting for education, age, sex and CDR®+NACC-FTLD sum of boxes. Subsequently, associations between TMEM106B and each outcome measure were investigated within the genetic group. For longitudinal modeling, linear mixed-effects models with time by TMEM106B predictor interactions were fitted. Results: The minor allele of TMEM106B rs1990622, linked to a decreased risk of FTD, associated with greater gray matter volume in GRN mutation carriers under the recessive dosage model. This was most pronounced in the thalamus in the left hemisphere, with a retained association when considering presymptomatic GRN mutation carriers only. The minor allele of TMEM106B rs1990622 also associated with greater cognitive scores among all C9orf72 mutation carriers and in presymptomatic C9orf72 mutation carriers, under the recessive dosage model. Discussion: We identified associations of TMEM106B with gray matter volume and cognition in the presence of GRN and C9orf72 mutations. This further supports TMEM106B as modifier of TDP-43 pathology. The association of TMEM106B with outcomes of interest in presymptomatic GRN and C9orf72 mutation carriers could additionally reflect TMEM106B's impact on divergent pathophysiological changes before the appearance of clinical symptoms.

Determinants of confrontation naming deficits on the Boston Naming Test associated with transactive response DNA-binding protein 43 pathology.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether poorer performance on the Boston Naming Test (BNT) in individuals with transactive response DNA-binding protein 43 pathology (TDP-43+) is due to greater loss of word knowledge compared to retrieval-based deficits. METHODS: Retrospective clinical-pathologic study of 282 participants with Alzheimer's disease neuropathologic changes (ADNC) and known TDP-43 status. We evaluated item-level performance on the 60-item BNT for first and last available assessment. We fit cross-sectional negative binomial count models that assessed total number of incorrect items, number correct of responses with phonemic cue (reflecting retrieval difficulties), and number of "I don't know" (IDK) responses (suggestive of loss of word knowledge) at both assessments. Models included TDP-43 status and adjusted for sex, age, education, years from test to death, and ADNC severity. Models that evaluated the last assessment adjusted for number of prior BNT exposures. RESULTS: 43% were TDP-43+. The TDP-43+ group had worse performance on BNT total score at first (p = .01) and last assessments (p = .01). At first assessment, TDP-43+ individuals had an estimated 29% (CI: 7%-56%) higher mean number of incorrect items after adjusting for covariates, and a 51% (CI: 15%-98%) higher number of IDK responses compared to TDP-43-. At last assessment, compared to TDP-43-, the TDP-43+ group on average missed 31% (CI: 6%-62%; p = .01) more items and had 33% more IDK responses (CI: 1% fewer to 78% more; p = .06). CONCLUSIONS: An important component of poorer performance on the BNT in participants who are TDP-43+ is having loss of word knowledge versus retrieval difficulties.

HDGFL2 cryptic proteins report presence of TDP-43 pathology in neurodegenerative diseases.

This letter demonstrates the potential of novel cryptic proteins resulting from TAR DNA-binding protein 43 (TDP-43) dysfunction as markers of TDP-43 pathology in neurodegenerative diseases.

Clinicoradiological and neuropathological evaluation of primary progressive aphasia.

BACKGROUND: Primary progressive aphasia (PPA) defines a group of neurodegenerative disorders characterised by language decline. Three PPA variants correlate with distinct underlying pathologies: semantic variant PPA (svPPA) with transactive response DNA-binding protein of 43 kD (TDP-43) proteinopathy, agrammatic variant PPA (agPPA) with tau deposition and logopenic variant PPA (lvPPA) with Alzheimer's disease (AD). Our objectives were to differentiate PPA variants using clinical and neuroimaging features, assess progression and evaluate structural MRI and a novel 18-F fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) image decomposition machine learning algorithm for neuropathology prediction. METHODS: We analysed 82 autopsied patients diagnosed with PPA from 1998 to 2022. Clinical histories, language characteristics, neuropsychological results and brain imaging were reviewed. A machine learning framework using a k-nearest neighbours classifier assessed FDG-PET scans from 45 patients compared with a large reference database. RESULTS: PPA variant distribution: 35 lvPPA (80% AD), 28 agPPA (89% tauopathy) and 18 svPPA (72% frontotemporal lobar degeneration-TAR DNA-binding protein (FTLD-TDP)). Apraxia of speech was associated with 4R-tauopathy in agPPA, while pure agrammatic PPA without apraxia was linked to 3R-tauopathy. Longitudinal data revealed language dysfunction remained the predominant deficit for patients with lvPPA, agPPA evolved to corticobasal or progressive supranuclear palsy syndrome (64%) and svPPA progressed to behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia (44%). agPPA-4R-tauopathy exhibited limited pre-supplementary motor area atrophy, lvPPA-AD displayed temporal atrophy extending to the superior temporal sulcus and svPPA-FTLD-TDP had severe temporal pole atrophy. The FDG-PET-based machine learning algorithm accurately predicted clinical diagnoses and underlying pathologies. CONCLUSIONS: Distinguishing 3R-taupathy and 4R-tauopathy in agPPA may rely on apraxia of speech presence. Additional linguistic and clinical features can aid neuropathology prediction. Our data-driven brain metabolism decomposition approach effectively predicts underlying neuropathology.

Cost-Effectiveness of Lecanemab for Individuals With Early-Stage Alzheimer Disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Little is known regarding the cost-effectiveness of lecanemab (Leqembi), a monoclonal antibody approved by the US Food and Drug Administration in January 2023 for the treatment of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or mild dementia due to Alzheimer disease (AD). This study aims to quantify the cost-effectiveness of lecanemab and how it varies based on the accuracy of AD testing and individuals' APOE ε4 status. METHODS: Seven alternative test-treat-target strategies defined by combinations of testing approaches (PET, CSF, or plasma assay), treatment choices (standard of care [SoC] alone or lecanemab in addition to SoC), and targeting strategies (targeting APOE ε4 noncarriers or heterozygous patients or not) were compared. A hybrid decision tree-Markov cohort model was constructed with 5 states: (1) MCI (Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Boxes [CDR-SB] 0-4.5); (2) mild dementia (CDR-SB 4.6-9.5); (3) moderate dementia (CDR-SB 9.6-16); (4) severe dementia (CDR-SB >16); and (5) death. Effectiveness was measured by quality-adjusted life years and costs from third-party and societal perspectives were estimated in 2022 US dollars over a lifetime horizon. RESULTS: Among the 7 test-treat-target strategies, SoC alone was the optimal strategy from a cost-effectiveness perspective. Neither targeted lecanemab treatment nor treatment unrestricted by APOE ε4 genotype was cost-effective vs SoC alone, regardless of the test used to diagnose patients with early-stage AD. However, CSF assay followed by targeted treatment would become cost-effective if lecanemab is priced below $5,100 per year. These results were robust to the accuracy of diagnostic testing and rates of lecanemab discontinuation and adverse events. DISCUSSION: Neither targeted lecanemab treatment nor treatment unrestricted by APOE ε4 genotype is cost-effective vs SoC alone for patients with MCI or mild dementia due to AD. Lecanemab would be cost-effective in some settings if priced below $5,100 per year.

Plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease in the continuum of dementia with Lewy bodies.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) may have Alzheimers disease (AD) pathology that can be detected by plasma biomarkers. Our objective was to evaluate plasma biomarkers of AD and their association with positron emission tomography (PET) biomarkers of amyloid and tau deposition in the continuum of DLB, starting from prodromal stages of the disease. METHODS: The cohort included patients with isolated rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (iRBD), mild cognitive impairment with Lewy bodies (MCI-LB), or DLB, with a concurrent blood draw and PET scans. RESULTS: Abnormal levels of plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) were found at the prodromal stage of MCI-LB in association with increased amyloid PET. Abnormal levels of plasma phosphorylated tau (p-tau)-181 and neurofilament light (NfL) were found at the DLB stage. Plasma p-tau-181 showed the highest accuracy in detecting abnormal amyloid and tau PET in patients with DLB. DISCUSSION: The range of AD co-pathology can be detected with plasma biomarkers in the DLB continuum, particularly with plasma p-tau-181 and GFAP.

Performance of the Lumipulse plasma Aß42/40 and pTau181 immunoassays in the detection of amyloid pathology.

INTRODUCTION: This study evaluated the performance of the Lumipulse plasma beta-amyloid (Aß) 42/40 and pTau181 compared to other assays to detect an abnormal amyloid-positron emission tomography (PET). METHODS: Plasma samples from cognitively unimpaired (N = 179) and MCI/AD dementia (N = 36) individuals were retrospectively evaluated. Plasma Aß42/40 and pTau181 were measured using the Lumipulse and Simoa immunoassays. An immunoprecipitation mass spectrometry (IP-MS) assay for plasma Aß42/40 was also evaluated. Amyloid-PET status was the outcome measure. RESULTS: Lumipulse and IP-MS Aß42/40 exhibited the highest diagnostic accuracy for detecting an abnormal amyloid-PET (areas under the curve [AUCs] of 0.81 and 0.84, respectively). The Lumipulse and Simoa pTau181 assays exhibited lower performance (AUCs of 0.74 and 0.72, respectively). The Simoa Aß42/40 assay demonstrated the lowest diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.57). Combining Aß42/40 and pTau181 did not significantly improve performance over Aß42/40 alone for Lumipulse (AUC 0.83) or over pTau181 alone for Simoa (AUC 0.71). DISCUSSION: The Lumipulse Aß42/40 assay showed similar performance to the IP-MS Aß42/40 assay for detection of an abnormal amyloid-PET; and both assays performed better than the two p-tau181 immunoassays. The Simoa Aß42/Aß40 assay was the least accurate at predicting an abnormal amyloid-PET status. Highlights: Lumipulse plasma Aß42/Aß40 AUC for abnormal amyloid-PET detection was 0.81.This performance was comparable to previously reported IP-MS and higher than Simoa.Performance of Alzheimer's disease blood biomarkers varies between assays.

TMEM106B core deposition associates with TDP-43 pathology and is increased in risk SNP carriers for frontotemporal dementia.

Genetic variation at the transmembrane protein 106B gene (TMEM106B) has been linked to risk of frontotemporal lobar degeneration with TDP-43 inclusions (FTLD-TDP) through an unknown mechanism. We found that presence of the TMEM106B rs3173615 protective genotype was associated with longer survival after symptom onset in a postmortem FTLD-TDP cohort, suggesting a slower disease course. The seminal discovery that filaments derived from TMEM106B is a common feature in aging and, across a range of neurodegenerative disorders, suggests that genetic variants in TMEM106B could modulate disease risk and progression through modulating TMEM106B aggregation. To explore this possibility and assess the pathological relevance of TMEM106B accumulation, we generated a new antibody targeting the TMEM106B filament core sequence. Analysis of postmortem samples revealed that the TMEM106B rs3173615 risk allele was associated with higher TMEM106B core accumulation in patients with FTLD-TDP. In contrast, minimal TMEM106B core deposition was detected in carriers of the protective allele. Although the abundance of monomeric full-length TMEM106B was unchanged, carriers of the protective genotype exhibited an increase in dimeric full-length TMEM106B. Increased TMEM106B core deposition was also associated with enhanced TDP-43 dysfunction, and interactome data suggested a role for TMEM106B core filaments in impaired RNA transport, local translation, and endolysosomal function in FTLD-TDP. Overall, these findings suggest that prevention of TMEM106B core accumulation is central to the mechanism by which the TMEM106B protective haplotype reduces disease risk and slows progression.

Multi-omics and pathway analyses of genome-wide associations implicate regulation and immunity in verbal declarative memory performance.

BACKGROUND: Uncovering the functional relevance underlying verbal declarative memory (VDM) genome-wide association study (GWAS) results may facilitate the development of interventions to reduce age-related memory decline and dementia. METHODS: We performed multi-omics and pathway enrichment analyses of paragraph (PAR-dr) and word list (WL-dr) delayed recall GWAS from 29,076 older non-demented individuals of European descent. We assessed the relationship between single-variant associations and expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) in 44 tissues and methylation quantitative trait loci (meQTLs) in the hippocampus. We determined the relationship between gene associations and transcript levels in 53 tissues, annotation as immune genes, and regulation by transcription factors (TFs) and microRNAs. To identify significant pathways, gene set enrichment was tested in each cohort and meta-analyzed across cohorts. Analyses of differential expression in brain tissues were conducted for pathway component genes. RESULTS: The single-variant associations of VDM showed significant linkage disequilibrium (LD) with eQTLs across all tissues and meQTLs within the hippocampus. Stronger WL-dr gene associations correlated with reduced expression in four brain tissues, including the hippocampus. More robust PAR-dr and/or WL-dr gene associations were intricately linked with immunity and were influenced by 31 TFs and 2 microRNAs. Six pathways, including type I diabetes, exhibited significant associations with both PAR-dr and WL-dr. These pathways included fifteen MHC genes intricately linked to VDM performance, showing diverse expression patterns based on cognitive status in brain tissues. CONCLUSIONS: VDM genetic associations influence expression regulation via eQTLs and meQTLs. The involvement of TFs, microRNAs, MHC genes, and immune-related pathways contributes to VDM performance in older individuals.

Comparison of plasma biomarkers and amyloid PET for predicting memory decline in cognitively unimpaired individuals.

BACKGROUND: We compared the ability of several plasma biomarkers versus amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) to predict rates of memory decline among cognitively unimpaired individuals. METHODS: We studied 645 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants. Predictor variables were age, sex, education, apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 genotype, amyloid PET, and plasma amyloid beta (Aß)42/40, phosphorylated tau (p-tau)181, neurofilament light (NfL), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and p-tau217. The outcome was a change in a memory composite measure. RESULTS: All plasma biomarkers, except NfL, were associated with mean memory decline in models with individual biomarkers. However, amyloid PET and plasma p-tau217, along with age, were key variables independently associated with mean memory decline in models combining all predictors. Confidence intervals were narrow for estimates of population mean prediction, but person-level prediction intervals were wide. DISCUSSION: Plasma p-tau217 and amyloid PET provide useful information about predicting rates of future cognitive decline in cognitively unimpaired individuals at the population mean level, but not at the individual person level.

Machine Learning Models of Polygenic Risk for Enhanced Prediction of Alzheimer Disease Endophenotypes.

Background and Objectives: Alzheimer disease (AD) has a polygenic architecture, for which genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have helped elucidate sequence variants (SVs) influencing susceptibility. Polygenic risk score (PRS) approaches show promise for generating summary measures of inherited risk for clinical AD based on the effects of APOE and other GWAS hits. However, existing PRS approaches, based on traditional regression models, explain only modest variation in AD dementia risk and AD-related endophenotypes. We hypothesized that machine learning (ML) models of polygenic risk (ML-PRS) could outperform standard regression-based PRS methods and therefore have the potential for greater clinical utility. Methods: We analyzed combined data from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (n = 1,791) and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (n = 864). An AD PRS was computed for each participant using the top common SVs obtained from a large AD dementia GWAS. In parallel, ML models were trained using those SV genotypes, with amyloid PET burden as the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included amyloid PET positivity and clinical diagnosis (cognitively unimpaired vs impaired). We compared performance between ML-PRS and standard PRS across 100 training sessions with different data splits. In each session, data were split into 80% training and 20% testing, and then five-fold cross-validation was used within the training set to ensure the best model was produced for testing. We also applied permutation importance techniques to assess which genetic factors contributed most to outcome prediction. Results: ML-PRS models outperformed the AD PRS (r2 = 0.28 vs r2 = 0.24 in test set) in explaining variation in amyloid PET burden. Among ML approaches, methods accounting for nonlinear genetic influences were superior to linear methods. ML-PRS models were also more accurate when predicting amyloid PET positivity (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.80 vs AUC = 0.63) and the presence of cognitive impairment (AUC = 0.75 vs AUC = 0.54) compared with the standard PRS. Discussion: We found that ML-PRS approaches improved upon standard PRS for prediction of AD endophenotypes, partly related to improved accounting for nonlinear effects of genetic susceptibility alleles. Further adaptations of the ML-PRS framework could help to close the gap of remaining unexplained heritability for AD and therefore facilitate more accurate presymptomatic and early-stage risk stratification for clinical decision-making.

Stricker Learning Span criterion validity: a remote self-administered multi-device compatible digital word list memory measure shows similar ability to differentiate amyloid and tau PET-defined biomarker groups as in-person Auditory Verbal Learning Test.

OBJECTIVE: The Stricker Learning Span (SLS) is a computer-adaptive digital word list memory test specifically designed for remote assessment and self-administration on a web-based multi-device platform (Mayo Test Drive). We aimed to establish criterion validity of the SLS by comparing its ability to differentiate biomarker-defined groups to the person-administered Rey's Auditory Verbal Learning Test (AVLT). METHOD: Participants (N = 353; mean age = 71, SD = 11; 93% cognitively unimpaired [CU]) completed the AVLT during an in-person visit, the SLS remotely (within 3 months) and had brain amyloid and tau PET scans available (within 3 years). Overlapping groups were formed for 1) those on the Alzheimer's disease (AD) continuum (amyloid PET positive, A+, n = 125) or not (A-, n = 228), and those with biological AD (amyloid and tau PET positive, A+T+, n = 55) vs no evidence of AD pathology (A-T-, n = 195). Analyses were repeated among CU participants only. RESULTS: The SLS and AVLT showed similar ability to differentiate biomarker-defined groups when comparing AUROCs (p's > .05). In logistic regression models, SLS contributed significantly to predicting biomarker group beyond age, education, and sex, including when limited to CU participants. Medium (A- vs A+) to large (A-T- vs A+T+) unadjusted effect sizes were observed for both SLS and AVLT. Learning and delay variables were similar in terms of ability to separate biomarker groups. CONCLUSIONS: Remotely administered SLS performed similarly to in-person-administered AVLT in its ability to separate biomarker-defined groups, providing evidence of criterion validity. Results suggest the SLS may be sensitive to detecting subtle objective cognitive decline in preclinical AD.

Modeling the temporal evolution of plasma p-tau in relation to amyloid beta and tau PET.

INTRODUCTION: The timing of plasma biomarker changes is not well understood. The goal of this study was to evaluate the temporal co-evolution of plasma and positron emission tomography (PET) Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers. METHODS: We included 1408 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging and Alzheimer's Disease Research Center participants. An accelerated failure time (AFT) model was fit with amyloid beta (Aß) PET, tau PET, plasma p-tau217, p-tau181, and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) as endpoints. RESULTS: Individual timing of plasma p-tau progression was strongly associated with Aß PET and GFAP progression. In the population, GFAP became abnormal first, then Aß PET, plasma p-tau, and tau PET temporal meta-regions of interest when applying cut points based on young, cognitively unimpaired participants. DISCUSSION: Plasma p-tau is a stronger indicator of a temporally linked response to elevated brain Aß than of tau pathology. While Aß deposition and a rise in GFAP are upstream events associated with tau phosphorylation, the temporal link between p-tau and Aß PET was the strongest. HIGHLIGHTS: Plasma p-tau progression was more strongly associated with Aß than tau PET. Progression on plasma p-tau was associated with Aß PET and GFAP progression. P-tau181 and p-tau217 become abnormal after Aß PET and before tau PET. GFAP became abnormal first, before plasma p-tau and Aß PET.